About This Trend
「当選確実」(Tōsen Kakujitsu) is a Japanese term that translates to 'certain to win' or 'assured of election', referring to a candidate who is projected to win an election based on exit polls and statistical analysis.
According to various news sources, including NHK and Asahi, exit polls have been conducted at voting stations across Japan, and some candidates have already been declared '当選確実' based on the results. These projections are made possible by the combination of exit polls and statistical analysis, which can accurately predict the outcome of an election even before the official counting of votes begins. For example, in the Tokyo electoral district, the参政party's さやandidate has been declared '当選確実' by Tokyo-NP, citing exit polls and statistical analysis.